Bajaj Auto
End-of-day close · 3 Sept 2026
Recent closes
52-week range
4.4% below its high · 40.4% above its low
Bajaj Auto closed down 1.73% on 3 Sep 2026
A bearish marubozu closed the session — a long red candle with almost no shadows, indicating that sellers held control from the open to the close rather than merely winning the final print. Volume ran at about 1.3 times the 20-day norm, giving the move more weight than an ordinary pullback, and it marks a second consecutive down day. Even so, the damage is modest in structural terms: the close remains about 7% above the 50-day average and roughly 20% above the 200-day, and still within 5% of the 52-week high. Notably, a red marubozu arrived despite the stock being up over 2% across the past 20 sessions — today reads more like a pause in an established trend, with ADX still elevated, than the start of a reversal. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
Most of the day's gains went back. Bajaj Auto opened at ₹12,191.00, near the session high, then closed at the bottom of the ₹11,920.00–₹12,191.00 range. Volume came to 3,04,296 shares — 1.3× the 20-day average, so participation was above normal.
Trend structure
Every moving average tracked here sits below the close: the 20-day, the 50-day, and the 200-day, which stands at ₹9,971.94. ADX (14) reads 52.9 — a trend with measurable strength behind it.
Momentum
The momentum gauges point in different directions, which is what they usually do when there is no clear direction in the market. RSI (14) is 57.2, between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative — a statement about where the shorter average sits relative to the longer one, nothing more.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock, lately, has been about ₹237.82 — average true range over 14 sessions, or 2.00% of price. That is the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹11,418.32 to ₹12,196.38, and the close sat in the middle of it.
The year so far
Over the past year this stock has moved between ₹8,491.50 and ₹12,470.00. The close is 4.41% below the 52-week high and 40.38% above the low. Five sessions have taken it up 1.71%; twenty, 2.58%. The two horizons agree in direction.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 3,29,929 crore, in the Consumer Cyclical sector (Auto Manufacturers). As reported, the price-to-earnings ratio is 29.1 and price-to-book is 8.6 — reported figures, not a view on whether they are deserved. The same filings show debt-to-equity of 56.4 and a dividend yield of 1.21%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and scores the range against what actually happened. Of 288 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 79.86% of the time. Measured against a naive benchmark over the same window, the range did better. A number below the nominal rate would mean the ranges have been too narrow; above it, too wide. Both possibilities are visible here, not just in an internal report.
Company Events
Buy Back
Dividend - Rs 150 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 210 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 35 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹9,697.57 to ₹10,462.49, actual ₹10,381.00 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹9,792.91 to ₹10,526.22, actual ₹10,166.00 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹9,819.71 to ₹10,582.45, actual ₹10,323.00 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹9,854.62 to ₹10,533.87, actual ₹10,331.50 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹9,870.87 to ₹10,505.93, actual ₹10,443.00 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹10,090.78 to ₹10,772.35, actual ₹10,522.50 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹9,871.20 to ₹10,536.97, actual ₹10,403.50 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹10,033.49 to ₹10,712.13, actual ₹10,998.50 — outside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹10,038.16 to ₹10,736.86, actual ₹11,283.50 — outside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹10,125.34 to ₹10,865.75, actual ₹11,130.00 — outside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹10,182.00 to ₹10,982.61, actual ₹11,183.50 — outside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹10,070.76 to ₹10,880.33, actual ₹11,374.00 — outside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹10,458.00 to ₹11,704.18, actual ₹11,338.00 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹10,708.54 to ₹12,006.97, actual ₹11,432.00 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹10,514.22 to ₹11,896.41, actual ₹11,520.50 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹10,632.40 to ₹11,939.38, actual ₹11,856.00 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹10,862.20 to ₹12,091.11, actual ₹11,600.00 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹10,858.62 to ₹11,996.50, actual ₹11,800.00 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹10,948.16 to ₹12,130.85, actual ₹11,620.00 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹11,040.25 to ₹12,163.19, actual ₹11,662.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹11,342.70 to ₹12,551.41, actual ₹11,677.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹11,118.75 to ₹12,300.76, actual ₹11,717.00 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹11,323.18 to ₹12,492.21, actual ₹11,700.00 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹11,168.59 to ₹12,273.25, actual ₹11,661.00 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹11,249.47 to ₹12,297.39, actual ₹11,700.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹11,252.16 to ₹12,325.92, actual ₹11,663.00 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹11,335.43 to ₹12,313.84, actual ₹11,607.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹11,277.15 to ₹12,227.92, actual ₹11,645.00 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹11,278.54 to ₹12,252.00, actual ₹11,793.00 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹11,306.80 to ₹12,216.39, actual ₹11,700.00 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹11,317.40 to ₹12,148.35, actual ₹11,800.00 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹11,250.73 to ₹12,060.85, actual ₹11,927.00 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹11,318.49 to ₹12,093.04, actual ₹11,724.00 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹11,496.10 to ₹12,239.17, actual ₹11,720.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹11,408.32 to ₹12,140.77, actual ₹11,910.00 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹11,508.22 to ₹12,240.23, actual ₹12,130.00 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹11,656.31 to ₹12,386.60, actual ₹12,361.00 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹11,454.47 to ₹12,131.01, actual ₹12,130.00 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹11,434.91 to ₹12,054.41, actual ₹11,920.00 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹11,637.14 to ₹12,298.21, actual ₹11,919.00 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | +1.71% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | +2.58% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹11,102.96 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹9,971.94 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -10.93 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 3,04,296 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹237.82 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.