Bajaj Auto
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹11,919.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 79.4% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 81.5% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
4.4% below its high · 40.4% above its low
Bajaj Auto closed little changed on 4 Sep 2026
Three black crows printed on the daily chart — three consecutive declining red candles, marking a third straight down day for the stock. The pattern typically signals persistent selling pressure, though today's version looks restrained: volume ran at well under the 20-day average, suggesting sellers are pressing without heavy participation behind them. Despite the pullback, the price remains about four percent below its 52-week high and still sits comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, so the larger structure is intact. Momentum tells a split story — the trend strength reading is unusually elevated, pointing to a strong prevailing trend, while oscillators sit mid-range and give no clear directional lean. Taken together, the data describes a strong uptrend pausing on light selling rather than a reversal taking hold. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
Most of what Bajaj Auto gained early, it handed back. The stock opened at ₹12,005.00 — close to the day's high of ₹12,025.00 — and spent the session drifting down through a floor of ₹11,873.00 before settling at ₹11,919.00, roughly midway. Participation was thin: 1,54,199 shares, 0.6× the 20-day average.
Trend structure
Every moving average tracked here sits below the close — the 20-day, the 50-day, and the 200-day, which stands at ₹9,987.20. That is the structure in a sentence. ADX (14) at 52.0 adds that the trend carries measurable strength, not just direction.
Momentum
The gauges do not agree. RSI (14) reads 57.1, sitting between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds — neither stretched. The MACD histogram is negative, which describes where the shorter average sits relative to the longer one and nothing beyond that. In a market without a clear direction, this split is the usual picture.
Volatility and range
A typical day for Bajaj Auto lately has been worth about ₹231.69, or 1.94% of price — the 14-session average true range. That is the yardstick against which today's move should be judged. The 20-day volatility band ran ₹11,434.26 to ₹12,206.14; the close landed in the middle of it.
The year so far
The stock is closer to its ceiling than its floor. Over the past year it has moved between ₹8,491.50 and ₹12,470.00, and the close sits 4.42% below that high while holding 40.36% above the low. Recent change is modest on both horizons — 0.08% over five sessions, 2.20% over twenty — and both point the same way.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 3,29,929 crore. On reported figures the price-to-earnings ratio is 29.1 and price-to-book is 8.6; debt-to-equity is 56.4 and the dividend yield 1.21%. These are the numbers as filed, in the Consumer Cyclical sector (Auto Manufacturers) — nothing here is a view on whether they are justified.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call — and it keeps score. Of 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 79.31% of the time, and the range beat a naive benchmark over the same window. A figure below the nominal rate would mean ranges too narrow; above it, too wide. Both sides of that ledger are shown here, not filed away internally.
Company Events
Buy Back
Dividend - Rs 150 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 210 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 35 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹9,697.57 to ₹10,462.49, actual ₹10,381.00 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹9,792.91 to ₹10,526.22, actual ₹10,166.00 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹9,819.71 to ₹10,582.45, actual ₹10,323.00 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹9,854.62 to ₹10,533.87, actual ₹10,331.50 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹9,870.87 to ₹10,505.93, actual ₹10,443.00 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹10,090.78 to ₹10,772.35, actual ₹10,522.50 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹9,871.20 to ₹10,536.97, actual ₹10,403.50 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹10,033.49 to ₹10,712.13, actual ₹10,998.50 — outside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹10,038.16 to ₹10,736.86, actual ₹11,283.50 — outside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹10,125.34 to ₹10,865.75, actual ₹11,130.00 — outside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹10,182.00 to ₹10,982.61, actual ₹11,183.50 — outside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹10,070.76 to ₹10,880.33, actual ₹11,374.00 — outside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹10,458.00 to ₹11,704.18, actual ₹11,338.00 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹10,708.54 to ₹12,006.97, actual ₹11,432.00 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹10,514.22 to ₹11,896.41, actual ₹11,520.50 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹10,632.40 to ₹11,939.38, actual ₹11,856.00 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹10,862.20 to ₹12,091.11, actual ₹11,600.00 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹10,858.62 to ₹11,996.50, actual ₹11,800.00 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹10,948.16 to ₹12,130.85, actual ₹11,620.00 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹11,040.25 to ₹12,163.19, actual ₹11,662.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹11,342.70 to ₹12,551.41, actual ₹11,677.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹11,118.75 to ₹12,300.76, actual ₹11,717.00 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹11,323.18 to ₹12,492.21, actual ₹11,700.00 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹11,168.59 to ₹12,273.25, actual ₹11,661.00 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹11,249.47 to ₹12,297.39, actual ₹11,700.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹11,252.16 to ₹12,325.92, actual ₹11,663.00 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹11,335.43 to ₹12,313.84, actual ₹11,607.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹11,277.15 to ₹12,227.92, actual ₹11,645.00 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹11,278.54 to ₹12,252.00, actual ₹11,793.00 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹11,306.80 to ₹12,216.39, actual ₹11,700.00 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹11,317.40 to ₹12,148.35, actual ₹11,800.00 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹11,250.73 to ₹12,060.85, actual ₹11,927.00 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹11,318.49 to ₹12,093.04, actual ₹11,724.00 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹11,496.10 to ₹12,239.17, actual ₹11,720.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹11,408.32 to ₹12,140.77, actual ₹11,910.00 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹11,508.22 to ₹12,240.23, actual ₹12,130.00 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹11,656.31 to ₹12,386.60, actual ₹12,361.00 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹11,454.47 to ₹12,131.01, actual ₹12,130.00 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹11,434.91 to ₹12,054.41, actual ₹11,920.00 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹11,637.14 to ₹12,298.21, actual ₹11,919.00 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | +0.08% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | +2.20% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹11,144.48 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹9,987.20 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -23.48 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 1,54,199 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹231.69 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.