Tata Motors Commercial Vehicles
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹458.20 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.9% of the time across 110 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 83.0% of the time across 106 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
10.0% below its high · 44.2% above its low
Tata Motors Commercial Vehicles closed down 0.47% on 4 Sep 2026
The pullback extended into a second day of pressure, with the close settling in the lower quarter of the Bollinger range — a zone that has often preceded stabilization on this chart. The 20-day average has now been lost while the 50-day average, roughly 4% below, remains the next reference point holding firm. Volume ran at about seven-tenths of the recent norm, so the retreat carries little in the way of participation weight. The picture is mixed rather than one-sided: RSI sits at the midpoint, Stochastic is drifting toward lower ground, and the MACD histogram stays slightly negative even as ADX near 33 signals a trend still has energy. With the stock about 10% off its 52-week high but well above its 52-week low, the current posture reads as a orderly cooling within a larger uptrend rather than a breakdown. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
₹458.20 was where the day ended, near the bottom of a ₹456.20–₹469.20 range. Volumes told their own quiet story: 62,45,264 shares, just 0.7× the 20-day average. Below normal participation, in plain terms.
Trend structure
A mixed picture. The close sits above the 50-day average but below the 20-day, so the short and slightly longer readings pull against each other. ADX (14) at 32.9 points to a trend with measurable strength behind it.
Momentum
The gauges don't agree — and that's the honest reading of a market without a clear direction. RSI (14) sits at 50.3, squarely between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative, which describes where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one and nothing about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock lately has spanned about ₹14.17 — average true range over 14 sessions, or 3.09% of price. That's the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran ₹447.31 to ₹487.84, and the close finished right in the middle of it.
The year so far
Nine percent-plus below the high, forty-four above the low. The close sits 9.98% under the 52-week high of ₹509.00 and 44.20% over the 52-week low of ₹317.75. Across five sessions the change is 1.74%; across twenty, 1.13%. The two horizons point in different directions — the recent week runs counter to the month.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation of 1,66,219 crore, in the Consumer Cyclical sector (Auto Manufacturers). The reported figures carry a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.2 and price-to-book of 13.1 — ratios as filed, not a view on whether they're deserved. The same filing set reports a debt-to-equity ratio of 44.1 and a dividend yield of 0.86%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and it gets scored against reality. Across 109 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 80.73% of the time. Against a naive benchmark over the same window, the range scored no better. Below the nominal rate means ranges too narrow; above it, too wide. Both show up here rather than in an internal report only.
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 4 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 33 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹406.41 to ₹456.74, actual ₹420.75 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹400.79 to ₹452.30, actual ₹417.40 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹393.33 to ₹441.50, actual ₹423.55 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹398.24 to ₹443.21, actual ₹412.55 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹401.99 to ₹446.17, actual ₹414.65 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹400.92 to ₹442.32, actual ₹409.35 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹397.62 to ₹438.32, actual ₹411.75 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹404.81 to ₹444.41, actual ₹405.45 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹394.68 to ₹432.29, actual ₹407.90 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹396.41 to ₹432.22, actual ₹406.15 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹393.26 to ₹428.10, actual ₹411.10 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹395.01 to ₹428.99, actual ₹416.70 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹389.73 to ₹422.54, actual ₹411.40 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹393.66 to ₹422.82, actual ₹414.95 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹391.79 to ₹420.68, actual ₹436.80 — outside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹397.31 to ₹427.80, actual ₹452.50 — outside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹401.70 to ₹433.12, actual ₹446.75 — outside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹394.36 to ₹428.30, actual ₹450.20 — outside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹398.26 to ₹433.53, actual ₹459.65 — outside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹416.09 to ₹464.39, actual ₹453.10 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹431.97 to ₹482.86, actual ₹450.20 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹424.72 to ₹472.84, actual ₹450.05 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹430.20 to ₹479.31, actual ₹457.05 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹439.75 to ₹488.96, actual ₹474.80 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹432.39 to ₹478.97, actual ₹474.30 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹431.52 to ₹475.19, actual ₹470.40 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹431.29 to ₹473.98, actual ₹471.65 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹438.91 to ₹478.12, actual ₹478.30 — outside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹452.43 to ₹502.37, actual ₹477.60 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹454.87 to ₹500.63, actual ₹472.55 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹452.47 to ₹494.27, actual ₹475.05 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹453.02 to ₹495.79, actual ₹474.90 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹462.55 to ₹501.79, actual ₹483.75 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹459.94 to ₹501.21, actual ₹473.10 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹457.11 to ₹496.41, actual ₹466.30 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹460.72 to ₹495.50, actual ₹471.10 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹460.63 to ₹494.21, actual ₹464.35 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹468.38 to ₹504.41, actual ₹447.45 — outside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹458.05 to ₹495.66, actual ₹460.35 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹449.61 to ₹486.71, actual ₹458.20 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
110 resolved forecasts
106 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -1.74% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | +1.13% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹441.96 |
|---|
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -4.02 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 62,45,264 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹14.17 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.