Tata Chemicals
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹625.10 on 4 SepRanges like this held 79.4% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 80.5% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
39.1% below its high · 7.7% above its low
Tata Chemicals closed down 2.53% on 4 Sep 2026
The stock closed lower for the first time in a fresh down leg, with volume running well above the 20-day norm — participation this heavy on a red session suggests sellers were active rather than absent. The close sits near the lower Bollinger Band and Stochastic is pinned at an extreme low, conditions that often appear when short-term selling has run hard. Yet ADX near 14 says there is no established trend behind the decline; the stock has drifted below its 50-day and 200-day averages, but the broader tape lacks directional conviction. Momentum gauges collectively lean weak — RSI in the upper-30s, MACD histogram still positive — an unusual split that leaves the picture mixed. The stock trades roughly 8% above its 52-week low, which remains the nearest reference point on the chart. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
A close at ₹625.10, near the bottom of the day's ₹624.00–₹634.50 spread, is the first thing to note about Tata Chemicals today. Participation was anything but thin: 9,91,042 shares traded, which works out to 1.6× the 20-day average — above normal for this name.
Trend structure
Every moving average tracked here sits above the close — the 20-day, the 50-day, and the 200-day, the last of those at ₹717.90. ADX (14) reads just 14.2, a figure that describes no trend of any strength. By this measure, the stock is ranging.
Momentum
The momentum gauges don't agree with each other. That's the usual picture in a market without a clear direction. RSI (14) sits at 35.7, between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is positive, but that only describes where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one — nothing about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock has recently been worth about ₹16.32, or 2.61% of price — that's the 14-session average true range, and it's the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹613.07 to ₹680.41, and the close landed in the lower fifth of it.
The year so far
From ₹580.30 to ₹1,026.65 — that's the past year's trading span. The close sits 39.11% below the 52-week high, and 7.72% above the 52-week low. Over five sessions the change is 4.67%; over twenty, 7.19%. The two horizons point the same way.
Fundamentals as reported
A price-to-book ratio of 0.8 stands out on the reported figures — market capitalisation is 16,205 crore, in the Basic Materials sector (Chemicals). The same filing set reports debt-to-equity at 36.1 and a dividend yield of 1.74%. These are ratios as reported, not a view on whether they're justified.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call — and it gets scored. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 79.66% of the time. Against a naive benchmark over the same window, the range did better. The logic of the score: below the nominal rate means ranges have been too narrow, above it means too wide. Here, both readings are on the page rather than buried in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 11 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 11 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 33 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹654.92 to ₹730.35, actual ₹714.40 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹678.32 to ₹756.38, actual ₹702.25 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹673.13 to ₹746.03, actual ₹698.40 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹676.01 to ₹746.84, actual ₹694.80 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹683.12 to ₹755.39, actual ₹698.45 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹677.45 to ₹746.64, actual ₹693.60 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹667.21 to ₹733.42, actual ₹690.65 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹663.45 to ₹723.73, actual ₹691.65 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹665.09 to ₹718.99, actual ₹679.40 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹666.25 to ₹722.65, actual ₹685.35 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹665.72 to ₹716.72, actual ₹698.90 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹662.10 to ₹714.54, actual ₹674.30 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹665.31 to ₹711.79, actual ₹679.05 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹652.53 to ₹700.69, actual ₹670.30 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹661.59 to ₹706.48, actual ₹673.55 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹670.09 to ₹718.43, actual ₹674.65 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹641.56 to ₹693.99, actual ₹668.30 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹650.75 to ₹700.59, actual ₹666.15 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹640.03 to ₹690.13, actual ₹663.30 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹649.09 to ₹692.41, actual ₹673.55 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹648.39 to ₹694.24, actual ₹668.90 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹642.35 to ₹685.79, actual ₹668.75 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹642.19 to ₹683.42, actual ₹673.15 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹640.29 to ₹679.58, actual ₹672.05 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹650.56 to ₹689.62, actual ₹670.65 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹646.53 to ₹683.60, actual ₹662.90 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹648.36 to ₹683.56, actual ₹653.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹653.65 to ₹688.46, actual ₹636.30 — outside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹650.96 to ₹687.02, actual ₹634.50 — outside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹649.21 to ₹685.07, actual ₹626.75 — outside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹641.17 to ₹677.38, actual ₹626.95 — outside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹630.57 to ₹670.96, actual ₹626.35 — outside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹612.07 to ₹654.30, actual ₹637.65 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹608.88 to ₹651.73, actual ₹644.15 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹603.03 to ₹643.48, actual ₹655.75 — outside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹601.42 to ₹646.54, actual ₹643.00 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹602.20 to ₹643.42, actual ₹633.60 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹613.05 to ₹656.50, actual ₹633.95 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹620.82 to ₹663.94, actual ₹641.35 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹631.53 to ₹675.57, actual ₹625.10 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -4.67% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -7.19% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹673.99 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹717.90 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | 0.715 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 9,91,042 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹16.32 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.