SRF
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹2,547.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 81.1% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 81.9% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
SRF closed down 2.67% on 4 Sep 2026
A bearish engulfing closed the session — a red candle that swallowed the previous day's entire green body — and it came on volume running at roughly 1.4 times the 20-day norm, giving the pattern real weight. An evening star also completed on the chart, a three-candle reversal setup that typically flags sellers regaining control after an attempted recovery. The close sits just below the lower Bollinger Band, more than a tenth below the 20-day average, and the Stochastic reading near 13 shows the stock is short-term oversold even as MACD stays positive. Broader context tempers both reads: the price remains about a fifth off its 52-week high but comfortably above its 52-week low, with ADX near 22 suggesting a trend that is present but not aggressive. The next few sessions will show whether this is a genuine breakdown or a routine pullback within a wider range. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
SRF opened at ₹2,631.10, close to where the day peaked, and spent the session between ₹2,532.20 and ₹2,631.10. The close at ₹2,547.00 sat in the lower part of that range — most of the opening gains did not survive the day. Turnover came to 3,52,418 shares, about 1.4× the 20-day average, so participation was above normal.
Trend structure
Every moving average tracked here sits above the close — the 20-day, the 50-day and the 200-day. The 200-day stands at ₹2,725.70, well above where the stock finished. ADX (14) at 22.2 points to a trend that exists, but is not strong.
Momentum
The gauges don't agree with one another, which is what you typically see when the market lacks a clear direction. RSI (14) reads 39.7 — between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is positive, which says the shorter average is above the longer one and nothing more.
Volatility and range
A typical day for SRF lately has been worth about ₹50.12 — the 14-session average true range, or 1.97% of price. That is the yardstick against which today's move should be judged. The 20-day band ran from ₹2,548.69 to ₹2,631.23, and the close finished below even the lower edge of it.
The year so far
Over the past year, the stock has moved between ₹2,355.00 and ₹3,210.00. The close is 20.65% below the 52-week high and 8.15% above the 52-week low. Across five sessions the change is 1.66%; across twenty, 2.60%. Both horizons point the same way.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 77,359 crore, in the Industrials sector (Conglomerates). The reported price-to-earnings ratio is 35.8 and price-to-book is 5.5 — figures as filed, not an assessment of whether they are fair. The same filings give a debt-to-equity ratio of 36.2 and a dividend yield of 0.39%.
How often our range has been right
What this page publishes is a 1-day range, not a price call, and the range is scored against what actually happened. Of 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 81.38% of the time. Over the same window it scored better than a naive benchmark. A figure below the nominal rate would mean the ranges ran too narrow; above it, too wide. Both are shown here rather than kept in an internal report.
52-week range
20.7% below its high · 8.2% above its low
Recent closes
Company Events
Interim Dividend - Rs 5 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 5 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 4 Per Sh
Interim Dividend - Rs 3.6 Per Sh
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits near the lower end of its recent volatility range.
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 30 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹2,746.59 to ₹2,902.30, actual ₹2,741.60 — outside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹2,724.11 to ₹2,898.25, actual ₹2,744.90 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹2,618.57 to ₹2,797.74, actual ₹2,775.60 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹2,664.36 to ₹2,837.73, actual ₹2,889.30 — outside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹2,678.68 to ₹2,867.44, actual ₹2,874.70 — outside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹2,634.31 to ₹2,827.99, actual ₹2,871.70 — outside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹2,646.07 to ₹2,831.01, actual ₹2,939.00 — outside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹2,667.15 to ₹2,876.58, actual ₹2,867.20 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹2,774.69 to ₹3,012.44, actual ₹2,622.70 — outside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹2,760.64 to ₹2,998.73, actual ₹2,664.70 — outside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹2,745.87 to ₹2,987.31, actual ₹2,636.50 — outside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹2,806.32 to ₹3,079.62, actual ₹2,633.40 — outside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹2,736.52 to ₹3,013.24, actual ₹2,643.80 — outside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹2,388.77 to ₹2,847.69, actual ₹2,604.80 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹2,442.86 to ₹2,884.34, actual ₹2,622.50 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹2,420.18 to ₹2,824.82, actual ₹2,645.00 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹2,448.00 to ₹2,832.18, actual ₹2,642.30 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹2,471.38 to ₹2,830.06, actual ₹2,639.70 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹2,402.69 to ₹2,774.83, actual ₹2,624.90 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹2,437.39 to ₹2,788.07, actual ₹2,615.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹2,491.09 to ₹2,810.30, actual ₹2,610.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹2,468.40 to ₹2,802.21, actual ₹2,570.00 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹2,476.46 to ₹2,797.33, actual ₹2,585.00 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹2,489.63 to ₹2,760.05, actual ₹2,608.70 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹2,478.86 to ₹2,746.58, actual ₹2,606.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹2,471.49 to ₹2,723.18, actual ₹2,616.00 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹2,441.57 to ₹2,691.42, actual ₹2,630.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹2,465.18 to ₹2,692.57, actual ₹2,578.60 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹2,491.94 to ₹2,721.81, actual ₹2,574.50 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹2,485.04 to ₹2,711.41, actual ₹2,571.90 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹2,505.11 to ₹2,718.62, actual ₹2,580.80 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹2,526.39 to ₹2,728.80, actual ₹2,575.00 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹2,473.60 to ₹2,671.92, actual ₹2,583.00 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹2,489.38 to ₹2,667.67, actual ₹2,605.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹2,482.39 to ₹2,656.94, actual ₹2,589.90 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹2,483.92 to ₹2,667.11, actual ₹2,560.40 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹2,491.97 to ₹2,655.72, actual ₹2,592.00 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹2,502.11 to ₹2,657.22, actual ₹2,598.40 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹2,523.56 to ₹2,682.18, actual ₹2,617.00 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹2,508.55 to ₹2,654.09, actual ₹2,547.00 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -1.66% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -2.60% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹2,674.37 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹2,725.70 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | 4.07 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 3,52,418 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹50.12 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.