Shriram Finance
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹1,041.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.1% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 80.5% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Shriram Finance closed down 0.31% on 4 Sep 2026
A fourth straight day of losses has pushed the close below its 20-day, 50-day, and even briefly its Bollinger floor — the %b reading under zero marks the first dip outside the lower band on this stretch of the decline. Momentum is souring but not panicking: RSI in the high 30s, Stochastic in the low teens, and a MACD histogram that keeps widening to the downside all point to sellers still in control, while ADX near 19 suggests the downtrend has momentum but no extreme force behind it. Volume ran only modestly above the 20-day norm, so the slide is unfolding without heavy distribution. The stock remains about 5% above its 200-day average — a structural cushion that today's selling has not yet tested — while the 20-day and 50-day averages above now act as overhead resistance. The net read: an orderly, gaining-strength pullback within a larger structure that still holds above its long-term anchor. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
₹1,041.00 — that is where Shriram Finance finished, roughly midway through the day's ₹1,037.00–₹1,052.80 span. Volume came to 41,35,730 shares, 1.1× the 20-day average. Nothing unusual in the participation; the day itself stayed contained.
Trend structure
A mixed picture: the close sits above the 200-day average of ₹990.26, yet below both the 20-day and the 50-day. One long-term marker holds, the shorter ones do not. ADX (14) at 19.0 backs the cautious read — by that measure there is no trend of any strength here, just a market ranging.
Momentum
Both momentum gauges lean the same way, and that way is down. RSI (14) reads 39.2, sitting between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative too — though it says something about the shorter average's position relative to the longer one, not about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock has been worth about ₹29.89 — the 14-session average true range, or 2.87% of price. That is the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹1,042.53 to ₹1,167.26, and the close finished below even the lower edge of it.
The year so far
Over the past year this stock has moved between ₹566.50 and ₹1,153.70. The current close stands 9.77% below that high and 83.76% above the low. The recent stretches tell a consistent story: up 4.22% over five sessions, up 6.64% over twenty — same direction at both horizons.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 2,45,840 crore, in the Financial Services sector (Credit Services). The reported price-to-earnings ratio is 18.7, price-to-book 3.0 — figures as filed, not a verdict on whether they are deserved. The same filings show return on equity of 18.50%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 276.2, and a dividend yield of 1.30%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call — and the range gets scored against what actually happened. Of 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 80.00% of the time, and it did better than a naive benchmark over the same window. A number below the nominal rate would mean the ranges run too narrow; above it, too wide. Both possibilities are visible here, not buried in an internal report.
52-week range
9.8% below its high · 83.8% above its low
Recent closes
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 6 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 4.80 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 3 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 2.50 Per Share
Face Value Split (Sub-Division) - From Rs 10/- Per Share To Rs 2/- Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits near the lower end of its recent volatility range.
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 31 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹1,019.23 to ₹1,129.93, actual ₹1,048.10 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹1,027.29 to ₹1,124.15, actual ₹1,013.90 — outside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹972.39 to ₹1,084.65, actual ₹1,033.80 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹983.57 to ₹1,109.26, actual ₹1,024.40 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹997.85 to ₹1,113.24, actual ₹1,034.90 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹1,005.81 to ₹1,115.28, actual ₹1,035.40 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹971.92 to ₹1,083.47, actual ₹1,061.50 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹990.92 to ₹1,104.80, actual ₹1,058.80 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹984.73 to ₹1,086.54, actual ₹1,025.80 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹993.77 to ₹1,095.26, actual ₹1,005.10 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹997.19 to ₹1,093.94, actual ₹1,038.20 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹1,026.89 to ₹1,127.32, actual ₹1,040.90 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹1,023.64 to ₹1,114.37, actual ₹1,044.70 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹986.67 to ₹1,084.79, actual ₹1,027.20 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹966.18 to ₹1,061.04, actual ₹1,046.70 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹998.38 to ₹1,093.77, actual ₹1,090.20 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹1,001.77 to ₹1,095.01, actual ₹1,087.30 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹1,009.23 to ₹1,097.09, actual ₹1,122.40 — outside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹989.62 to ₹1,076.69, actual ₹1,141.00 — outside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹1,007.30 to ₹1,107.67, actual ₹1,115.00 — outside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹1,041.80 to ₹1,158.09, actual ₹1,137.80 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹1,046.56 to ₹1,161.58, actual ₹1,129.90 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹1,072.59 to ₹1,192.74, actual ₹1,117.20 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹1,090.67 to ₹1,211.51, actual ₹1,132.30 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹1,071.48 to ₹1,184.32, actual ₹1,122.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹1,094.66 to ₹1,202.70, actual ₹1,122.00 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹1,087.82 to ₹1,193.60, actual ₹1,108.40 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹1,079.58 to ₹1,177.48, actual ₹1,106.00 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹1,092.81 to ₹1,193.12, actual ₹1,128.20 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹1,083.54 to ₹1,180.65, actual ₹1,130.00 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹1,086.16 to ₹1,175.30, actual ₹1,119.00 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹1,073.69 to ₹1,157.42, actual ₹1,138.50 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹1,072.76 to ₹1,154.69, actual ₹1,117.50 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹1,095.99 to ₹1,180.59, actual ₹1,101.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹1,101.23 to ₹1,178.84, actual ₹1,086.90 — outside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹1,086.81 to ₹1,169.93, actual ₹1,109.90 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹1,109.38 to ₹1,188.98, actual ₹1,059.10 — outside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹1,085.15 to ₹1,170.19, actual ₹1,047.00 — outside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹1,065.44 to ₹1,155.43, actual ₹1,044.20 — outside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹1,049.61 to ₹1,136.90, actual ₹1,041.00 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -4.22% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -6.64% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹1,073.31 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹990.26 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -12.62 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 41,35,730 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹29.89 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.