Reliance Industries
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹1,322.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 79.7% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 80.5% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Reliance Industries closed up 1.50% on 4 Sep 2026
The stock cleared its 50-day average for the first time in over two weeks, with volume running modestly above the 20-day norm — enough participation to keep the move credible, though not the kind that forces a re-rating. The encouraging part is the structure: the close sits above both the 50-day and 20-day averages, with the 200-day average still overhead as the next reference level. Momentum gauges are edging up but stop short of a decisive push — Stochastic in the low eighties flags the short-term move as extended, while ADX near 14 says the broader chart still lacks a trend worth following. The 52-week picture frames the session well: the stock remains about 18% below its high, so today's advance reads more like a repair within a range than the start of one. A session of quiet accumulation, then — direction intact above the shorter averages, conviction not yet proven. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
Ground was made through the day. Reliance Industries opened at ₹1,304.10, close to where it bottomed, spent the session between ₹1,304.10 and ₹1,333.00, and finished at ₹1,322.00 — around the middle of the range. Participation ran above normal: 1,30,31,534 shares changed hands, 1.2× the 20-day average.
Trend structure
A mixed picture. The close sits above both the 20-day and 50-day averages but below the 200-day, which stands at ₹1,391.93. And there is little trend to speak of either way: ADX (14) reads just 14.3, a ranging market by that measure.
Momentum
The gauges do not agree, which is what a market without a clear direction usually produces. RSI (14) is 55.1, comfortably between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is positive — a statement about the shorter average's position relative to the longer one, nothing more.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock has recently measured ₹21.58, the 14-session average true range, or 1.63% of price. That is the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹1,282.14 to ₹1,338.16; the close landed in the middle of it.
The year so far
The week and the month tell different stories. Over five sessions the stock is up 2.72%; over twenty, only 0.96% — the recent week runs counter to the month. The past year's span runs from ₹1,249.80 to ₹1,611.80, with the close 17.98% below the 52-week high and 5.78% above the 52-week low.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation is 14,84,86,412 crore, in the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing). As reported: a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.6, a price-to-book ratio of 2.0, a debt-to-equity ratio of 36.7, and a dividend yield of 0.46%. These are figures from the filings, not a view on whether they are justified.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and scores it against what actually happened. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 80.00% of the time, and over the same window the range beat a naive benchmark. A figure below the nominal rate would mean the ranges were too narrow; above it, too wide. Both are shown here rather than kept in an internal report.
Recent closes
52-week range
18.0% below its high · 5.8% above its low
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 6 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 5.5 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits 1.4% above the 50-day average (₹1,303.11).
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 33 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹1,284.52 to ₹1,362.37, actual ₹1,296.90 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹1,268.35 to ₹1,351.31, actual ₹1,293.00 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹1,234.80 to ₹1,320.15, actual ₹1,295.50 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹1,237.25 to ₹1,322.48, actual ₹1,296.60 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹1,263.12 to ₹1,356.94, actual ₹1,327.20 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹1,256.95 to ₹1,339.72, actual ₹1,323.10 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹1,251.88 to ₹1,333.03, actual ₹1,303.70 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹1,261.47 to ₹1,335.56, actual ₹1,288.60 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹1,263.26 to ₹1,337.88, actual ₹1,272.20 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹1,284.98 to ₹1,368.57, actual ₹1,278.00 — outside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹1,282.46 to ₹1,367.79, actual ₹1,280.00 — outside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹1,262.51 to ₹1,352.43, actual ₹1,267.70 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹1,247.86 to ₹1,335.77, actual ₹1,275.90 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹1,233.06 to ₹1,317.13, actual ₹1,292.90 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹1,238.49 to ₹1,322.41, actual ₹1,307.80 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹1,239.93 to ₹1,318.59, actual ₹1,319.00 — outside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹1,228.89 to ₹1,307.06, actual ₹1,290.90 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹1,236.05 to ₹1,317.36, actual ₹1,280.00 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹1,254.23 to ₹1,334.96, actual ₹1,325.00 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹1,267.78 to ₹1,346.02, actual ₹1,334.80 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹1,280.84 to ₹1,357.09, actual ₹1,327.30 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹1,254.07 to ₹1,332.68, actual ₹1,323.90 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹1,244.10 to ₹1,321.45, actual ₹1,329.00 — outside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹1,277.25 to ₹1,382.86, actual ₹1,317.00 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹1,284.89 to ₹1,388.87, actual ₹1,310.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹1,280.08 to ₹1,372.09, actual ₹1,316.00 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹1,280.72 to ₹1,367.77, actual ₹1,322.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹1,287.26 to ₹1,375.90, actual ₹1,311.00 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹1,278.93 to ₹1,360.62, actual ₹1,313.20 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹1,271.86 to ₹1,349.56, actual ₹1,316.00 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹1,274.94 to ₹1,356.24, actual ₹1,309.80 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹1,287.30 to ₹1,357.74, actual ₹1,317.00 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹1,278.49 to ₹1,346.42, actual ₹1,298.00 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹1,283.25 to ₹1,347.75, actual ₹1,282.20 — outside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹1,284.51 to ₹1,350.81, actual ₹1,287.00 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹1,277.06 to ₹1,344.74, actual ₹1,277.00 — outside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹1,282.30 to ₹1,352.58, actual ₹1,309.00 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹1,261.23 to ₹1,333.10, actual ₹1,313.10 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹1,246.21 to ₹1,316.82, actual ₹1,302.50 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹1,253.85 to ₹1,318.21, actual ₹1,322.00 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | +2.72% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -0.96% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹1,303.11 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹1,391.93 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | 0.541 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 1,30,31,534 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹21.58 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.