Polycab India
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹8,300.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 79.4% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 79.8% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Polycab India closed down 5.76% on 4 Sep 2026
A gap-down open followed by the heaviest volume in weeks — turnover ran more than four times the 20-day norm — marked a fourth consecutive session of decline. Today's high sat below yesterday's low, meaning no overlap between the two sessions, a sign of one-sided participation rather than two-way trade. The close now rests almost exactly on the 200-day average, the first genuine test of that long-term floor on this chart in over a year of trading. Momentum readings are stretched to the downside — RSI near 31, Stochastic deep in single digits — while ADX around 14 shows the selling has run without a strongly established trend behind it. With the stock still about a quarter above its 52-week low, the next few sessions will show whether the 200-day line holds as support or the distribution extends. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
₹8,300.00 — that is where Polycab India ended the day, near the bottom of a ₹8,250.00–₹8,500.00 range. The open at ₹8,500.00 sat close to the session high, and the stock could not hold those gains. Volume told a busier story: 15,59,741 shares traded, 4.3× the 20-day average and well above normal participation.
Trend structure
Every moving average tracked here sits above the close — the 20-day, the 50-day, and the 200-day at ₹8,308.80. ADX (14) reads just 14.2, which points to a market going nowhere fast — a range, not a trend, by this measure.
Momentum
Down. That is the one-word summary of the momentum gauges. RSI (14) is 31.1, sitting between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative, which says where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one — nothing more, and nothing about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock has recently been worth about ₹243.69 — the 14-session average true range, or 2.94% of price. That is the yardstick for judging whether today's move was large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹8,591.96 to ₹9,567.74, and the close fell below even the lower edge of it.
The year so far
Over the past year this stock has moved between ₹6,663.00 and ₹10,126.00. Against those marks, the close sits 18.03% below the 52-week high and 24.57% above the 52-week low. The recent record agrees with itself: down 8.67% over five sessions, down 9.96% over twenty.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation is 1,33,598 crore, in the Industrials sector (Electrical Equipment & Parts). As reported, the stock carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 47.3 and a price-to-book of 11.0 — figures on record, not a verdict on whether they are fair. The same filings show return on equity of 25.55%, a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.7, and a dividend yield of 0.53%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and it scores itself against reality. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 79.66% of the time, and against a naive benchmark over the same window, the range did better. A number below the nominal rate means the ranges have been too narrow; above it, too wide. Both readings are out in the open here, not buried in an internal report.
52-week range
18.0% below its high · 24.6% above its low
Recent closes
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 47 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 35 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits 0.1% below the 200-day average (₹8,308.80).
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 33 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹9,176.58 to ₹10,149.42, actual ₹9,306.50 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹9,023.82 to ₹9,999.87, actual ₹9,532.50 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹8,866.77 to ₹9,761.62, actual ₹9,324.50 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹8,734.25 to ₹9,621.91, actual ₹9,215.00 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹8,809.73 to ₹9,748.76, actual ₹8,862.00 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹8,948.09 to ₹9,818.59, actual ₹8,885.00 — outside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹9,131.95 to ₹10,123.13, actual ₹8,903.50 — outside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹8,855.26 to ₹9,922.87, actual ₹9,090.50 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹8,812.93 to ₹9,806.06, actual ₹8,935.00 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹8,382.94 to ₹9,471.68, actual ₹8,907.50 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹8,432.95 to ₹9,474.05, actual ₹9,010.00 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹8,477.39 to ₹9,478.97, actual ₹9,121.50 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹8,690.38 to ₹9,644.54, actual ₹9,047.00 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹8,537.31 to ₹9,516.99, actual ₹8,896.00 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹8,533.35 to ₹9,456.24, actual ₹9,106.50 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹8,600.48 to ₹9,489.95, actual ₹9,034.00 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹8,793.69 to ₹9,634.18, actual ₹9,176.00 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹8,679.72 to ₹9,526.50, actual ₹9,200.00 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹8,574.95 to ₹9,376.35, actual ₹9,315.00 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹8,770.93 to ₹9,605.99, actual ₹9,218.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹8,686.26 to ₹9,513.88, actual ₹9,275.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹8,836.52 to ₹9,611.42, actual ₹9,125.00 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹8,892.50 to ₹9,651.42, actual ₹9,289.00 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹9,002.98 to ₹9,769.85, actual ₹9,297.00 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹8,957.08 to ₹9,647.80, actual ₹9,240.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹8,991.77 to ₹9,704.70, actual ₹9,370.00 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹8,863.78 to ₹9,496.12, actual ₹9,139.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹9,009.89 to ₹9,701.33, actual ₹9,140.00 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹9,030.56 to ₹9,692.22, actual ₹9,125.00 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹8,972.63 to ₹9,600.13, actual ₹8,966.00 — outside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹9,100.29 to ₹9,764.91, actual ₹9,054.00 — outside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹8,874.89 to ₹9,563.69, actual ₹9,098.00 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹8,839.41 to ₹9,537.64, actual ₹9,060.00 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹8,849.30 to ₹9,497.91, actual ₹9,079.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹8,687.57 to ₹9,331.01, actual ₹9,088.00 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹8,785.43 to ₹9,433.99, actual ₹9,445.00 — outside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹8,812.82 to ₹9,481.55, actual ₹8,895.50 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹8,790.94 to ₹9,428.31, actual ₹8,804.00 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹8,837.99 to ₹9,421.58, actual ₹8,807.50 — outside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹8,816.65 to ₹9,421.31, actual ₹8,300.00 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -8.67% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -9.96% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹9,176.47 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹8,308.80 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -66.42 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 15,59,741 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹243.69 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.