NMDC
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹84.70 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.1% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 81.9% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
13.1% below its high · 24.2% above its low
NMDC closed up 0.61% on 4 Sep 2026
A Bullish Harami printed on the daily chart — a small green candle nested inside yesterday's large red body, a pattern that typically hints at selling pressure losing momentum. The modest rebound, however, came on volume at roughly seven-tenths of the 20-day norm, so the session reads more like a pause than a decisive turn. The close sits just a touch below the 50-day average while holding about 1.6% above the 200-day average, leaving the stock wedged between the two with no clear structural bias. Momentum readings are collectively neutral — RSI mid-range, MACD marginally negative, Stochastic drifting toward the lower end — and ADX near 15 confirms there is no trend to speak of. With a 5-day loss of about 2.4% barely offset by today's gain, the stock remains in a low-energy consolidation, coiled tightly within its Bollinger range and waiting for volume to pick a direction. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
The session finished with NMDC at ₹84.70 — roughly the middle of a ₹84.26–₹85.18 range. Volume told a quieter story: 1,32,24,234 shares traded, just 0.7× the 20-day average, so participation was below normal.
Trend structure
A mixed picture, not a one-way one. The close sits above the 200-day average (₹83.39) but below both the 20-day and 50-day. ADX (14) at 14.7 leaves little room for interpretation — by this measure, there is no trend of any strength; the market is ranging.
Momentum
The gauges don't agree, which is what you'd expect when there's no clear direction. RSI (14) reads 47.3, sitting between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative — that describes where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one, nothing more.
Volatility and range
A typical day for NMDC lately has been worth about ₹2.08 — average true range over 14 sessions, or 2.46% of price. That's the yardstick against which today's move should be judged. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹82.99 to ₹87.90, and the close settled in the middle of it.
The year so far
13.12% below the 52-week high of ₹97.49; 24.21% above the low of ₹68.19. That's where the close stands after a year of trading in that band. Over five sessions the change is 2.37%, and over twenty just 0.26% — both horizons point the same way.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 74,247 crore, with NMDC filed under Basic Materials (Steel). The reported price-to-earnings ratio is 9.9 and price-to-book is 2.2 — ratios as reported, not a view on whether they're fair. The same filings show debt-to-equity at 18.8 and a dividend yield of 4.08%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call — and the range gets scored against what actually happens. Of 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 80.00% of the time, and the range scored better than a naive benchmark over the same window. A number below the nominal rate would mean the ranges have been too narrow; above it, too wide. Here, both sides of that record are out in the open rather than tucked into an internal report.
Company Events
Interim Dividend - Rs 2.50 Per Share
Dividend - Re 1 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 2.30 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits 0.2% below the 50-day average (₹84.88).
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 32 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹82.70 to ₹88.37, actual ₹84.13 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹81.67 to ₹87.22, actual ₹84.99 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹81.56 to ₹86.71, actual ₹84.89 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹81.99 to ₹87.14, actual ₹84.08 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹82.59 to ₹87.75, actual ₹83.22 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹81.99 to ₹86.76, actual ₹83.85 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹82.78 to ₹87.31, actual ₹83.93 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹82.83 to ₹87.34, actual ₹83.34 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹82.30 to ₹86.59, actual ₹82.64 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹81.45 to ₹85.49, actual ₹83.56 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹82.14 to ₹86.07, actual ₹83.52 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹82.42 to ₹86.09, actual ₹83.92 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹81.72 to ₹85.56, actual ₹85.85 — outside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹80.97 to ₹84.58, actual ₹85.01 — outside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹81.86 to ₹85.76, actual ₹85.04 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹81.67 to ₹85.51, actual ₹83.80 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹82.47 to ₹85.93, actual ₹84.20 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹84.04 to ₹88.12, actual ₹85.80 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹83.32 to ₹87.23, actual ₹86.20 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹83.40 to ₹86.99, actual ₹84.92 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹82.31 to ₹85.74, actual ₹85.48 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹82.79 to ₹86.17, actual ₹85.45 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹84.24 to ₹87.82, actual ₹85.90 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹84.63 to ₹88.19, actual ₹85.00 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹83.53 to ₹86.97, actual ₹84.40 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹84.10 to ₹87.27, actual ₹85.50 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹84.10 to ₹87.33, actual ₹84.19 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹84.68 to ₹87.72, actual ₹83.35 — outside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹83.56 to ₹86.75, actual ₹83.95 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹83.13 to ₹86.35, actual ₹84.61 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹84.23 to ₹87.32, actual ₹85.90 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹82.62 to ₹85.66, actual ₹85.94 — outside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹81.97 to ₹85.01, actual ₹88.21 — outside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹82.55 to ₹85.85, actual ₹85.72 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹83.35 to ₹86.54, actual ₹86.76 — outside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹84.46 to ₹88.05, actual ₹88.20 — outside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹84.45 to ₹87.89, actual ₹85.69 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹86.52 to ₹90.66, actual ₹85.75 — outside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹83.60 to ₹88.54, actual ₹84.19 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹84.62 to ₹89.49, actual ₹84.70 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -2.37% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -0.26% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹84.88 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹83.39 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -0.100 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 1,32,24,234 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹2.08 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.