NHPC
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹76.25 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.8% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 82.2% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
14.5% below its high · 6.5% above its low
NHPC closed down 0.26% on 4 Sep 2026
A quiet session with barely any downside — a one-day slip of a fraction of a percent on roughly half the usual volume barely registers on this chart. That calm is consistent with the broader posture: ADX near 12 signals no meaningful trend in either direction, and momentum gauges sit mid-range with no directional push. The close remains below both the 50-day and 200-day averages, though only marginally so, leaving the stock hovering in a narrow band between them. With the price sitting in the lower-middle portion of its 52-week range and the Bollinger position below the midpoint, today reads less like a turning point and more like a market waiting for a catalyst. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
A quiet day, and the numbers say so plainly. NHPC moved between ₹75.91 and ₹76.75 and finished at ₹76.25, close to the middle of that spread. Turnover came to 40,59,538 shares — just 0.5× the 20-day average, so participation was thin.
Trend structure
Every moving average tracked here sits above the close — the 20-day, the 50-day and the 200-day, the last of those at ₹77.91. Direction is hard to find on this chart: ADX (14) reads just 11.5, which by this measure describes a market drifting within a range rather than trending.
Momentum
The momentum gauges don't agree with one another, and that in itself is telling. RSI (14) sits at 46.0, comfortably between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is positive — a statement about where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one, nothing more.
Volatility and range
How big was today's move? The yardstick is the 14-session average true range: ₹1.45, or 1.90% of price, which is what a typical day has looked like recently. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹75.38 to ₹77.59, and the close landed near its middle.
The year so far
The stock has spent the past year between ₹71.62 and ₹89.22. From the 52-week high it is 14.54% below; from the low it is 6.46% above. The five-session change of 1.91% runs counter to the twenty-session change of 0.87% — the week and the month point in different directions.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 76,965 crore, placing NHPC in the Utilities sector (Utilities - Renewable). As reported, the price-to-earnings ratio is 28.3 and price-to-book is 1.9 — figures from the filings, not a view on whether they are fair. The same set reports a debt-to-equity ratio of 113.1 and a dividend yield of 2.11%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call — and the range gets scored against reality. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close fell inside the 20.0% range 80.69% of the time, and over the same window it did better than a naive benchmark. A figure below the nominal rate would mean the ranges have been too narrow; above it, too wide. Both outcomes show up here openly, not hidden in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Re 0.21 Per Sh
Interim Dividend - Rs 1.40 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 0.51 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 1.4 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 37 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹76.27 to ₹83.57, actual ₹79.46 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹75.27 to ₹82.25, actual ₹78.77 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹75.46 to ₹81.97, actual ₹79.09 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹75.27 to ₹81.70, actual ₹78.91 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹76.45 to ₹83.08, actual ₹79.20 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹76.36 to ₹82.23, actual ₹81.00 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹75.82 to ₹81.39, actual ₹80.31 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹76.18 to ₹81.87, actual ₹80.28 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹76.31 to ₹81.60, actual ₹80.25 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹76.57 to ₹81.80, actual ₹79.39 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹78.15 to ₹83.74, actual ₹79.72 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹77.63 to ₹83.01, actual ₹78.28 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹77.71 to ₹82.63, actual ₹77.90 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹77.63 to ₹82.53, actual ₹78.07 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹77.08 to ₹81.56, actual ₹78.73 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹77.25 to ₹81.89, actual ₹79.25 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹76.06 to ₹80.57, actual ₹80.50 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹75.91 to ₹79.96, actual ₹78.60 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹75.91 to ₹80.08, actual ₹77.50 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹76.58 to ₹80.64, actual ₹76.92 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹77.38 to ₹81.05, actual ₹77.20 — outside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹78.53 to ₹82.41, actual ₹76.95 — outside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹75.94 to ₹80.73, actual ₹76.85 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹75.31 to ₹79.99, actual ₹77.50 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹74.52 to ₹78.82, actual ₹76.90 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹75.04 to ₹79.27, actual ₹76.60 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹74.72 to ₹78.81, actual ₹76.73 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹75.00 to ₹78.62, actual ₹76.17 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹75.66 to ₹79.27, actual ₹76.35 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹75.01 to ₹78.70, actual ₹76.15 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹74.68 to ₹78.32, actual ₹76.65 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹75.07 to ₹78.31, actual ₹76.62 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹74.49 to ₹77.64, actual ₹76.24 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹74.73 to ₹77.73, actual ₹76.55 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹74.74 to ₹77.57, actual ₹74.82 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹75.17 to ₹78.06, actual ₹76.72 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹75.15 to ₹77.86, actual ₹76.30 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹74.85 to ₹77.49, actual ₹75.65 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹75.17 to ₹77.76, actual ₹76.45 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹73.35 to ₹76.22, actual ₹76.25 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | +1.91% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -0.87% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹78.23 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹77.91 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | 0.056 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 40,59,538 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹1.45 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.