Nestle India
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹1,410.50 on 4 SepRanges like this held 79.4% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 79.1% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
9.2% below its high · 23.2% above its low
Nestle India closed down 0.39% on 4 Sep 2026
A second consecutive decline carried the stock to the lower Bollinger Band, with the close sitting nearly flat against it — a position the chart has rarely visited in recent weeks. Momentum gauges point the same way: Stochastic deep in oversold territory and RSI drifting toward the low-30s, while ADX near 16 suggests the selling lacks trend strength. Participation was light, at roughly half the 20-day average, so the slide has come more from absent buyers than aggressive sellers. Despite the weakness, the 200-day average remains the structural cushion, with the close still above it; the 50-day average, however, now sits well overhead. The stock is stretched to the downside but not in freefall — a consolidation zone between the 200-day average and the lower band is where the data currently places it. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
A quiet day by the stock's own standards. Nestle India moved between ₹1,402.50 and ₹1,420.00, and the close at ₹1,410.50 landed almost exactly midway. Turnover was 9,74,257 shares — 0.6× the 20-day average, so participation ran thin.
Trend structure
The close sits above the 200-day average but below both the 20-day and the 50-day, which makes this a mixed picture rather than a one-directional one. The 200-day average is at ₹1,351.26, with price holding above it. ADX (14) at 15.9 describes a market without a trend of any strength — range-bound, by this measure.
Momentum
Both momentum gauges lean the same way, and that way is down. RSI (14) reads 37.5, sitting between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative — a statement about where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one, nothing about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day lately: ₹32.71, or 2.32% of price — that is the 14-session average true range, and the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹1,406.35 to ₹1,529.65. The close landed in the lower fifth of that band.
The year so far
The stock has moved between ₹1,145.00 and ₹1,553.00 over the past year. The close sits 9.18% below the 52-week high and 23.19% above the 52-week low. Over five sessions the change is 3.03%; over twenty, 8.41%. The two horizons point the same direction.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 2,71,892 crore in the Consumer Defensive sector (Packaged Foods). On reported figures, the price-to-earnings ratio is 72.2 and the price-to-book ratio is 52.7 — ratios as filed, not a verdict on whether they are deserved. The same filings show a debt-to-equity ratio of 8.6 and a dividend yield of 0.83%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and scores it against what actually happened. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 79.31% of the time. Measured against a naive benchmark over the same window, the range did better than that benchmark. A figure below the nominal rate would mean ranges have been too narrow; above it, too wide. Here, both readings are out in the open rather than buried in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 5 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 7 Per Share
Bonus 1:1
Dividend - Rs 10 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 14.25 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits near the lower end of its recent volatility range.
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 33 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹1,411.55 to ₹1,537.05, actual ₹1,427.00 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹1,415.43 to ₹1,530.18, actual ₹1,427.10 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹1,391.76 to ₹1,506.39, actual ₹1,424.40 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹1,410.01 to ₹1,523.00, actual ₹1,423.50 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹1,406.07 to ₹1,507.97, actual ₹1,427.20 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹1,381.39 to ₹1,476.35, actual ₹1,446.30 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹1,379.47 to ₹1,477.56, actual ₹1,451.90 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹1,376.71 to ₹1,473.71, actual ₹1,493.60 — outside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹1,376.78 to ₹1,476.00, actual ₹1,447.90 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹1,380.48 to ₹1,477.85, actual ₹1,443.50 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹1,402.86 to ₹1,496.70, actual ₹1,446.10 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹1,408.83 to ₹1,498.58, actual ₹1,491.80 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹1,441.73 to ₹1,548.28, actual ₹1,503.30 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹1,395.92 to ₹1,510.62, actual ₹1,520.70 — outside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹1,385.62 to ₹1,507.55, actual ₹1,509.60 — outside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹1,389.62 to ₹1,511.46, actual ₹1,530.00 — outside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹1,416.29 to ₹1,577.05, actual ₹1,520.00 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹1,433.52 to ₹1,582.62, actual ₹1,520.00 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹1,459.87 to ₹1,594.06, actual ₹1,535.00 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹1,439.90 to ₹1,585.24, actual ₹1,540.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹1,468.68 to ₹1,601.14, actual ₹1,528.60 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹1,457.23 to ₹1,590.24, actual ₹1,493.20 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹1,462.81 to ₹1,585.32, actual ₹1,507.00 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹1,477.24 to ₹1,596.18, actual ₹1,506.90 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹1,490.49 to ₹1,599.17, actual ₹1,499.10 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹1,475.84 to ₹1,587.55, actual ₹1,470.00 — outside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹1,436.35 to ₹1,556.78, actual ₹1,462.50 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹1,449.89 to ₹1,570.32, actual ₹1,465.00 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹1,449.10 to ₹1,562.88, actual ₹1,458.00 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹1,445.23 to ₹1,554.56, actual ₹1,477.10 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹1,418.94 to ₹1,525.24, actual ₹1,471.30 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹1,410.23 to ₹1,521.98, actual ₹1,479.00 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹1,417.11 to ₹1,513.33, actual ₹1,451.50 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹1,413.71 to ₹1,504.43, actual ₹1,450.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹1,431.64 to ₹1,525.10, actual ₹1,454.60 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹1,429.04 to ₹1,519.72, actual ₹1,496.50 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹1,442.08 to ₹1,526.07, actual ₹1,438.20 — outside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹1,401.90 to ₹1,502.56, actual ₹1,425.00 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹1,411.46 to ₹1,496.07, actual ₹1,416.00 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹1,413.81 to ₹1,501.80, actual ₹1,410.50 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -3.03% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -8.41% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹1,467.11 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹1,351.26 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -8.30 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 9,74,257 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹32.71 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.