National Aluminium
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹374.10 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.1% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 79.4% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
16.0% below its high · 103.5% above its low
National Aluminium closed little changed on 4 Sep 2026
A near-flat close after five sessions of decline — today's stall looks more like a pause than a recovery, with volume running at roughly seven-tenths of the recent norm and none of the momentum gauges pressing hard in either direction. The Stochastic reading in the high-teens does flag that the short-term downswing has stretched, while the MACD histogram remains on the negative side, consistent with the loss of upside thrust over the past week. Structurally the picture is unchanged: the close still sits above both the 50-day and 200-day averages, though it remains well below the 20-day average that it occupied through most of the recent rally. With the ADX near 20, the trend is present but not forceful, and the stock's position in the lower fifth of its Bollinger range captures the current posture well — a pullback within a larger uptrend that has not yet broken its footing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
A quiet session. ₹374.10 was the closing print for National Aluminium, near the middle of a narrow ₹372.75–₹378.95 band. Turnover came to 55,17,970 shares — just 0.7× the 20-day average, so participation ran thin.
Trend structure
Three averages, three positions. The close sits above the 50-day and 200-day averages but below the 20-day — a mixed picture rather than a one-way structure. The 200-day average is at ₹361.87, with the close comfortably above it. ADX (14) at 19.8 says there is no trend worth the name: a ranging market by this measure.
Momentum
The gauges pull in different directions. RSI (14) reads 46.7, squarely between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative — a statement about where the shorter average sits relative to the longer one, and nothing more.
Volatility and range
How big is a typical day? The 14-session average true range is ₹11.34, or 3.03% of price — that is the yardstick against which today's move should be judged. The 20-day volatility band stretched from ₹364.12 to ₹412.44, and the close landed in the middle of it.
The year so far
The stock has covered enormous ground over the past year: a low of ₹183.86, a high of ₹445.15. The close sits 15.96% below that high and 103.47% above the low. Over five sessions the change is 5.28%; over twenty, 1.81%. Both point the same way.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 68,249 crore, in the Basic Materials sector (Aluminum). As reported: price-to-earnings of 10.2, price-to-book of 3.2, debt-to-equity of 0.28, dividend yield of 1.08%. These are the filed figures, not a view on whether they deserve them.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and the range gets scored against reality. Of 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close fell inside the 20.0% range 80.00% of the time. Against a naive benchmark over the same window, the range did better. A number below the nominal rate would mean ranges too narrow; above it, too wide. Both possibilities are shown here, not buried in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Re 1 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 2 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 4.50 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 4 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 2.50 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 4 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 33 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹322.64 to ₹400.01, actual ₹355.20 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹314.53 to ₹385.13, actual ₹364.90 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹324.38 to ₹393.27, actual ₹361.50 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹321.17 to ₹388.47, actual ₹354.45 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹331.09 to ₹394.55, actual ₹339.90 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹334.21 to ₹395.65, actual ₹342.90 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹340.78 to ₹404.76, actual ₹342.90 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹336.92 to ₹397.12, actual ₹342.40 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹331.43 to ₹390.37, actual ₹346.00 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹317.11 to ₹376.00, actual ₹343.90 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹319.05 to ₹373.63, actual ₹339.35 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹322.02 to ₹373.09, actual ₹334.55 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹322.13 to ₹371.13, actual ₹344.70 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹328.80 to ₹375.02, actual ₹347.65 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹326.78 to ₹372.43, actual ₹350.05 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹323.62 to ₹366.54, actual ₹369.00 — outside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹318.70 to ₹361.57, actual ₹377.00 — outside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹324.67 to ₹375.82, actual ₹381.00 — outside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹324.97 to ₹379.24, actual ₹381.00 — outside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹328.12 to ₹386.10, actual ₹381.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹341.67 to ₹410.11, actual ₹382.70 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹348.35 to ₹415.16, actual ₹388.00 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹358.92 to ₹418.28, actual ₹420.00 — outside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹354.91 to ₹421.92, actual ₹400.50 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹359.01 to ₹418.00, actual ₹376.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹358.03 to ₹419.17, actual ₹387.55 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹364.75 to ₹422.70, actual ₹388.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹387.37 to ₹474.24, actual ₹386.55 — outside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹366.87 to ₹455.03, actual ₹385.60 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹341.64 to ₹434.82, actual ₹394.45 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹351.41 to ₹444.03, actual ₹403.30 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹350.35 to ₹441.01, actual ₹397.80 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹349.94 to ₹436.82, actual ₹399.30 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹352.47 to ₹434.27, actual ₹389.30 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹364.00 to ₹445.51, actual ₹394.95 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹373.40 to ₹450.94, actual ₹381.50 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹368.36 to ₹442.37, actual ₹372.00 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹372.93 to ₹441.53, actual ₹370.00 — outside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹359.12 to ₹431.20, actual ₹374.00 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹368.65 to ₹437.20, actual ₹374.10 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -5.28% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -1.81% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹366.28 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹361.87 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -3.66 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 55,17,970 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹11.34 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.