JSW Steel
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹1,325.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 79.7% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 80.8% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
1.9% below its high · 29.6% above its low
JSW Steel closed up 1.30% on 4 Sep 2026
A bullish engulfing pattern closed the session — a green candle that fully swallowed the previous day's red body, reinforced by a piercing line that opened below the prior close and recovered above its midpoint. The pattern typically signals buyers stepping in after a down day, though participation tells a more measured story: volume ran at about seven-tenths of the 20-day norm. The close now sits within about 2% of the 52-week high and above all three key moving averages, with ADX near 30 pointing to a trend that has real strength behind it. Momentum gauges are mixed — RSI in the upper-middle of its range and Stochastic elevated, but the MACD histogram still slightly negative. The stock's posture is constructive without being stretched: a trend-day recovery near the top of its 52-week range, waiting for volume to confirm. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
₹1,325.00 — the close sat near the middle of a ₹1,300.10 to ₹1,331.70 session range. Turnover was 10,94,356 shares, 0.7× the 20-day average, so participation ran lighter than usual.
Trend structure
Every moving average tracked here sits below the close — the 20-day, the 50-day, and the 200-day at ₹1,224.22. ADX (14) reads 30.4, a trend with measurable strength behind it.
Momentum
The gauges don't agree with each other, which is the usual reading in a market without a clear direction. RSI (14) is 58.3, between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative — a statement about where the shorter average sits relative to the longer one, not about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock has lately been ₹25.32, the 14-session average true range, or 1.91% of price. That is the yardstick that makes today's move large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹1,255.66 to ₹1,348.84, and the close sat in the middle of it.
The year so far
The close is 1.92% below the 52-week high of ₹1,351.00 and 29.61% above the 52-week low of ₹1,022.30. Over five sessions the change is 0.74%; over twenty, 1.96%. The two horizons disagree in direction — the recent week runs counter to the month.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation is 3,16,741 crore, in the Basic Materials sector (Steel). As reported: price-to-earnings of 12.9, price-to-book of 3.2, debt-to-equity of 95.4, and a dividend yield of 0.54%. These are ratios as reported, not a judgement on whether they are justified.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and the range is scored against what actually happened. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 79.66% of the time — better than a naive benchmark over the same window. A figure below the nominal rate means ranges have been too narrow; above it, too wide. Both are visible here rather than only in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 7.10 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 2.80 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close is 1.9% below its 52-week high (₹1,351.00).
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 30 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹1,214.93 to ₹1,276.00, actual ₹1,237.40 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹1,219.26 to ₹1,278.78, actual ₹1,247.70 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹1,190.75 to ₹1,251.04, actual ₹1,226.90 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹1,200.80 to ₹1,256.64, actual ₹1,221.00 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹1,216.55 to ₹1,279.81, actual ₹1,237.30 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹1,212.47 to ₹1,269.53, actual ₹1,257.00 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹1,221.77 to ₹1,275.64, actual ₹1,267.40 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹1,198.08 to ₹1,256.44, actual ₹1,266.90 — outside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹1,194.41 to ₹1,252.29, actual ₹1,246.80 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹1,210.79 to ₹1,269.83, actual ₹1,240.80 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹1,226.81 to ₹1,287.90, actual ₹1,244.60 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹1,239.07 to ₹1,299.28, actual ₹1,246.90 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹1,242.56 to ₹1,299.49, actual ₹1,276.60 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹1,220.02 to ₹1,278.30, actual ₹1,270.80 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹1,216.15 to ₹1,271.34, actual ₹1,270.00 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹1,219.18 to ₹1,273.29, actual ₹1,292.30 — outside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹1,223.05 to ₹1,273.05, actual ₹1,300.00 — outside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹1,248.46 to ₹1,312.55, actual ₹1,330.00 — outside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹1,242.76 to ₹1,305.41, actual ₹1,307.90 — outside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹1,239.98 to ₹1,305.81, actual ₹1,299.50 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹1,261.05 to ₹1,331.79, actual ₹1,302.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹1,269.13 to ₹1,334.67, actual ₹1,283.40 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹1,299.15 to ₹1,370.91, actual ₹1,269.10 — outside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹1,272.31 to ₹1,352.75, actual ₹1,275.00 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹1,262.23 to ₹1,341.83, actual ₹1,270.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹1,268.91 to ₹1,341.54, actual ₹1,277.80 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹1,247.75 to ₹1,322.70, actual ₹1,267.60 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹1,238.20 to ₹1,307.23, actual ₹1,285.80 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹1,243.22 to ₹1,308.45, actual ₹1,299.70 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹1,238.89 to ₹1,304.11, actual ₹1,293.70 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹1,251.60 to ₹1,311.50, actual ₹1,327.00 — outside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹1,238.53 to ₹1,302.47, actual ₹1,320.30 — outside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹1,254.83 to ₹1,322.99, actual ₹1,341.00 — outside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹1,264.64 to ₹1,335.51, actual ₹1,337.50 — outside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹1,258.36 to ₹1,336.75, actual ₹1,334.90 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹1,288.09 to ₹1,374.56, actual ₹1,307.70 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹1,279.59 to ₹1,364.92, actual ₹1,313.50 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹1,300.82 to ₹1,386.00, actual ₹1,306.00 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹1,304.10 to ₹1,382.77, actual ₹1,308.00 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹1,298.10 to ₹1,376.15, actual ₹1,325.00 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -0.74% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | +1.96% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹1,272.84 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹1,224.22 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -0.688 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 10,94,356 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹25.32 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.