Federal Bank
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹343.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.1% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 80.1% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
7.7% below its high · 82.1% above its low
Federal Bank closed down 0.46% on 4 Sep 2026
The stock is pressing against the floor of its Bollinger Bands — the Bollinger %b near 0.08 puts today's close at the lower edge of the recent trading range — yet volume ran just under the 20-day norm, suggesting the drift lower is happening without heavy conviction. A Stochastic reading near single digits typically marks oversold territory, though oversold conditions can persist while a trend is in force, and ADX near 28 confirms a directional trend has been present. The close now sits below both the 50-day and 20-day averages, continuing the pullback from levels about eight percent off the 52-week high. The longer-term structure remains different: the price is still well above its 200-day average, which has held as the anchor through this year's advance. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
Federal Bank opened at ₹344.90 — right at the session high — and spent the day drifting lower, finishing at ₹343.00. That close sits near the middle of the ₹341.80–₹344.90 range. The day's gains were given back rather than held. Volume came to 41,15,397 shares, 0.9× the 20-day average: close to normal participation.
Trend structure
The close sits above the 200-day average of ₹296.66 but below both the 20-day and the 50-day — a mixed structure, not a single-direction one. ADX (14) at 27.7 points to a trend with measurable strength behind it.
Momentum
The gauges disagree, which is what a market without a clear direction usually produces. RSI (14) reads 44.1, between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative — that describes the shorter average's position relative to the longer one, nothing about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock has recently been worth ₹7.61, or 2.22% of price — the 14-session average true range, and the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹341.12 to ₹363.53. The close sat in the lower fifth of it.
The year so far
₹188.40 to ₹371.70 — that is where this stock has traded over the past year. The close is 7.72% below the 52-week high and 82.06% above the low. Across five sessions the change is 0.36%; across twenty, 3.72%. The two horizons agree in direction.
Fundamentals as reported
Market capitalisation stands at 85,453 crore in the Financial Services sector (Banks - Regional). On the reported figures the price-to-earnings ratio is 18.3 and the price-to-book ratio 2.1 — ratios as reported, not a judgement on whether they are justified. The same filing set reports a dividend yield of 0.34%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and scores it against what actually happened. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 80.00% of the time — better than a naive benchmark over the same window. A score below the nominal rate would mean the ranges have been too narrow; above it, too wide. Both are visible here rather than hidden in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 1.20 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 1.20 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits 1.2% below the 50-day average (₹347.09).
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 30 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹323.55 to ₹341.25, actual ₹332.50 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹324.51 to ₹343.19, actual ₹327.50 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹319.72 to ₹336.99, actual ₹327.55 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹321.41 to ₹338.20, actual ₹326.60 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹323.53 to ₹339.39, actual ₹349.00 — outside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹325.82 to ₹342.65, actual ₹350.75 — outside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹320.93 to ₹338.23, actual ₹356.05 — outside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹320.29 to ₹339.17, actual ₹353.25 — outside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹319.42 to ₹338.04, actual ₹354.40 — outside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹334.04 to ₹372.10, actual ₹354.30 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹336.08 to ₹373.21, actual ₹356.50 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹342.84 to ₹378.78, actual ₹357.25 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹340.91 to ₹377.60, actual ₹359.15 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹341.67 to ₹375.04, actual ₹354.15 — inside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹342.38 to ₹372.61, actual ₹358.85 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹344.52 to ₹375.59, actual ₹371.70 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹345.74 to ₹376.10, actual ₹362.45 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹348.26 to ₹376.07, actual ₹356.45 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹343.70 to ₹369.19, actual ₹353.55 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹348.43 to ₹374.91, actual ₹356.25 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹360.03 to ₹390.32, actual ₹358.35 — outside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹351.23 to ₹383.52, actual ₹354.55 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹344.23 to ₹376.05, actual ₹356.85 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹342.76 to ₹372.72, actual ₹352.45 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹344.51 to ₹373.70, actual ₹351.30 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹346.79 to ₹376.97, actual ₹354.10 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹345.08 to ₹371.41, actual ₹357.80 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹346.71 to ₹374.31, actual ₹358.80 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹342.87 to ₹368.67, actual ₹355.30 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹342.59 to ₹367.79, actual ₹361.00 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹345.75 to ₹369.92, actual ₹357.75 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹349.75 to ₹371.59, actual ₹346.95 — outside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹350.06 to ₹373.91, actual ₹345.30 — outside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹346.00 to ₹370.64, actual ₹344.80 — outside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹351.19 to ₹376.79, actual ₹344.25 — outside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹346.75 to ₹374.31, actual ₹356.70 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹334.24 to ₹365.02, actual ₹349.25 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹333.88 to ₹360.79, actual ₹353.35 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹335.12 to ₹360.97, actual ₹344.60 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹334.29 to ₹357.55, actual ₹343.00 — inside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -0.36% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -3.72% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹347.09 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹296.66 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -1.67 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 41,15,397 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹7.61 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.