Cummins India
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹5,035.00 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.4% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 80.8% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
17.5% below its high · 32.8% above its low
Cummins India closed down 0.71% on 4 Sep 2026
A third consecutive down day has pulled Cummins India to within arm's reach of its 200-day average — a level it has held above since the stock last tested it, and one that now sits just under the current price. The decline is unfolding with real directional force: ADX at 32 points to an established downtrend rather than routine drift, and the Stochastic reading near 7 shows the stock is deep into oversold territory. RSI at 31 sits right at the edge of that same zone, so momentum gauges are collectively stretched to the downside even as volume runs only modestly above the 20-day norm — this is a persistent slide, not a panic. The close near the lower Bollinger Band and roughly seven percent below the 50-day average underscores how far the recent structure has eroded. Whether the 200-day average acts as support is the question the next session or two will answer on its own. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
A range of ₹5,013.00 to ₹5,083.00, a close near the middle of it at ₹5,035.00 — that was Cummins India's session in one line. Volume came in at 4,83,825 shares, about 1.1× the 20-day average. Nothing unusual in the participation.
Trend structure
One average says one thing, two say another. The close sits above the 200-day average (₹4,949.16) but below both the 20-day and the 50-day, so the structure is mixed rather than pointing one way. ADX (14) at 32.2 indicates a trend with measurable strength behind it.
Momentum
Down — that is the direction both gauges agree on. RSI (14) reads 31.5, sitting between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds. The MACD histogram is negative, which describes where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one; it says nothing about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day lately measures ₹108.06 — average true range over 14 sessions, or 2.15% of price. That is the yardstick against which today's move looks large or ordinary. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹4,978.86 to ₹5,486.74, and the close landed in the lower fifth of it.
The year so far
Seventeen-and-a-half percent below the 52-week high, a third again above the low. Over the past year the stock has moved between ₹3,792.00 and ₹6,100.00, and the close sits 17.46% under the top and 32.78% over the bottom. The shorter horizons point the same way as each other: 3.04% across five sessions, 7.21% across twenty.
Fundamentals as reported
A market capitalisation of 1,40,790 crore, in the Industrials sector (Specialty Industrial Machinery). As reported, the price-to-earnings ratio is 59.6 and price-to-book is 16.6 — figures as filed, not a view on whether they are deserved. The same filings show debt-to-equity at 0.43 and a dividend yield of 1.29%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and scores it against what actually happened. Of 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 80.34% of the time, and the range did better than a naive benchmark over the same window. A figure below the nominal rate would mean the ranges were too narrow, above it, too wide — here both directions of error stay visible rather than buried in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 46 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 20 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 33.50 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 18 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits 1.7% above the 200-day average (₹4,949.16).
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 30 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹5,406.95 to ₹5,887.01, actual ₹5,555.00 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹5,321.98 to ₹5,769.79, actual ₹5,493.50 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹5,348.83 to ₹5,777.47, actual ₹5,549.50 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹5,380.72 to ₹5,793.78, actual ₹5,592.00 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹5,468.87 to ₹5,889.02, actual ₹5,448.00 — outside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹5,415.76 to ₹5,828.63, actual ₹5,506.00 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹5,338.39 to ₹5,756.53, actual ₹5,583.00 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹5,408.25 to ₹5,802.72, actual ₹5,586.00 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹5,463.62 to ₹5,843.74, actual ₹5,599.00 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹5,308.45 to ₹5,682.02, actual ₹5,600.50 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹5,361.99 to ₹5,752.55, actual ₹5,629.50 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹5,452.31 to ₹5,823.61, actual ₹5,455.50 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹5,469.01 to ₹5,823.97, actual ₹5,383.00 — outside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹5,476.33 to ₹5,839.03, actual ₹5,396.00 — outside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹5,479.07 to ₹5,858.45, actual ₹5,519.00 — inside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹5,503.91 to ₹5,857.84, actual ₹5,550.00 — inside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹5,303.51 to ₹5,682.75, actual ₹5,550.00 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹5,249.03 to ₹5,593.59, actual ₹5,440.00 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹5,256.34 to ₹5,603.16, actual ₹5,402.00 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹5,380.40 to ₹5,776.33, actual ₹5,426.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹5,423.65 to ₹5,772.81, actual ₹5,448.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹5,451.05 to ₹5,787.06, actual ₹5,378.50 — outside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹5,315.34 to ₹5,668.16, actual ₹5,365.00 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹5,281.68 to ₹5,620.53, actual ₹5,315.00 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹5,304.92 to ₹5,631.14, actual ₹5,400.00 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹5,325.33 to ₹5,635.24, actual ₹5,450.00 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹5,267.01 to ₹5,567.11, actual ₹5,350.00 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹5,259.35 to ₹5,555.95, actual ₹5,220.00 — outside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹5,213.62 to ₹5,495.98, actual ₹5,205.00 — outside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹5,280.12 to ₹5,599.32, actual ₹5,107.50 — outside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹5,331.49 to ₹5,669.57, actual ₹5,190.00 — outside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹5,213.40 to ₹5,560.45, actual ₹5,239.50 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹5,077.70 to ₹5,441.71, actual ₹5,200.00 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹5,073.38 to ₹5,406.64, actual ₹5,190.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹4,976.46 to ₹5,319.46, actual ₹5,193.00 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹5,058.74 to ₹5,397.43, actual ₹5,105.00 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹5,107.55 to ₹5,448.28, actual ₹5,105.00 — outside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹5,075.81 to ₹5,416.81, actual ₹5,088.50 — inside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹5,059.36 to ₹5,379.10, actual ₹5,071.00 — inside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹5,061.80 to ₹5,365.10, actual ₹5,035.00 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -3.04% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -7.21% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹5,411.05 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹4,949.16 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -11.91 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 4,83,825 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹108.06 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.