Coal India
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹415.35 on 4 SepRanges like this held 81.1% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 81.2% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Coal India closed down 1.12% on 4 Sep 2026
A second consecutive down day pulled the close back below the 50-day average, though the retreat arrived on light volume — roughly two-thirds of the 20-day norm — suggesting the pullback has more drift than force behind it. Momentum has not followed price lower: the MACD histogram remains firmly in positive territory and RSI sits mid-range, indicating the underlying bias from the recent run of gains is still intact. The 20-day average, which the stock reclaimed during its earlier advance, continues to provide support near ₹407 levels, while the 52-week range shows the price still about 15% off its high. What today amounts to is consolidation: an uptrend catching its breath just under the 50-day line rather than a structural breakdown. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
The open at ₹418.00 sat right at the session high, and the rest of the day gave most of it back. Coal India wound up at ₹415.35, near the middle of a ₹412.55–₹418.00 range. Volume came to 61,26,850 shares — only 0.6× the 20-day average, so participation stayed light throughout.
Trend structure
A mixed picture: the close sits above the 20-day average but below both the 50-day and the 200-day, which stands at ₹428.57. That is not a one-direction structure. The ADX (14) at 27.4 does show a trend with measurable strength behind it.
Momentum
The gauges don't agree, which is typical when no clear direction has settled in. RSI (14) reads 54.3 — between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds, neither here nor there. The MACD histogram is positive; it says where the shorter average sits relative to the longer one, nothing more.
Volatility and range
A typical day for this stock has recently been about ₹7.70, the 14-session average true range, or 1.85% of price. That yardstick puts today's move in context. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹395.80 to ₹418.76, and the close landed in the upper fifth of it.
The year so far
Fifteen-and-a-half percent below the 52-week high, and the stock has been there before: the past year's range runs from ₹369.60 to ₹491.25, with the close still 12.38% above the low. Across five sessions the change is 3.58%; across twenty, just 0.02%. Both horizons point the same way.
Fundamentals as reported
A dividend yield of 5.23% stands out on the reported figures. Market capitalisation is 2,57,818 crore in the Energy sector (Thermal Coal). The same filing set shows a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0, a price-to-book of 2.2, and a debt-to-equity ratio of 11.6 — ratios as reported, not a judgement on whether they are justified.
How often our range has been right
This is a 1-day range, not a price call, and it gets scored against what actually happened. Across 290 resolved 1-day ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 81.38% of the time, and the range scored better than a naive benchmark over the same window. A number below the nominal rate would mean ranges too narrow; above it, too wide. Both outcomes are shown here rather than kept in an internal report.
Recent closes
52-week range
15.5% below its high · 12.4% above its low
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 5.25 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 5.50 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 5.50 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 10.25 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 5.15 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 5.50 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits 0.8% below the 50-day average (₹418.74).
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 32 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹420.37 to ₹445.89, actual ₹430.20 — inside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹417.17 to ₹441.79, actual ₹430.60 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹417.99 to ₹441.99, actual ₹427.55 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹419.48 to ₹442.05, actual ₹427.35 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹418.59 to ₹440.13, actual ₹427.65 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹420.26 to ₹441.43, actual ₹429.40 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹420.75 to ₹441.03, actual ₹431.25 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹418.64 to ₹436.45, actual ₹428.40 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹419.07 to ₹436.73, actual ₹427.05 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹419.12 to ₹436.76, actual ₹427.40 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹421.85 to ₹438.81, actual ₹427.50 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹423.32 to ₹439.54, actual ₹410.15 — outside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹420.21 to ₹436.28, actual ₹410.05 — outside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹419.54 to ₹435.66, actual ₹417.20 — outside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹419.20 to ₹435.95, actual ₹414.15 — outside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹419.19 to ₹436.67, actual ₹416.00 — outside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹396.63 to ₹424.28, actual ₹417.60 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹397.50 to ₹423.49, actual ₹415.50 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹403.16 to ₹430.70, actual ₹415.60 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹401.54 to ₹426.74, actual ₹415.25 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹403.51 to ₹428.07, actual ₹411.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹406.05 to ₹429.36, actual ₹412.60 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹404.32 to ₹426.51, actual ₹409.30 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹403.43 to ₹427.07, actual ₹410.50 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹404.57 to ₹425.88, actual ₹407.10 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹400.64 to ₹421.10, actual ₹408.45 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹402.17 to ₹422.18, actual ₹406.90 — inside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹399.61 to ₹418.77, actual ₹400.00 — inside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹402.00 to ₹419.30, actual ₹402.50 — inside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹397.92 to ₹415.66, actual ₹405.20 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹399.68 to ₹416.74, actual ₹406.90 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹399.27 to ₹414.93, actual ₹404.00 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹390.89 to ₹407.60, actual ₹403.50 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹394.01 to ₹410.93, actual ₹400.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹397.66 to ₹413.25, actual ₹401.00 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹399.85 to ₹414.84, actual ₹401.75 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹396.83 to ₹410.92, actual ₹401.60 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹396.78 to ₹410.14, actual ₹417.85 — outside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹392.77 to ₹407.21, actual ₹420.05 — outside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹393.28 to ₹408.23, actual ₹415.35 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | +3.58% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | +0.02% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹418.74 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹428.57 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | 2.52 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 61,26,850 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹7.70 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.