Asian Paints
End-of-day close · 4 Sept 2026
The range ahead
Computed from the close of ₹2,527.30 on 4 SepRanges like this held 80.1% of the time across 291 past forecasts
Ranges like this held 79.1% of the time across 287 past forecasts
Not a price target. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent closes
52-week range
15.4% below its high · 19.5% above its low
Asian Paints closed down 0.56% on 4 Sep 2026
The daily candle closed pinned near the lower Bollinger Band — the band position sits at the very bottom of its range — while RSI near 32 and Stochastic at 10 push against oversold territory. This is a grind lower, not a crash: volume ran at only about two-thirds the 20-day average, and ADX near 25 suggests the downtrend carries some persistence rather than being a one-day flush. The stock now trades below all three key moving averages — the 20-, 50- and 200-day — sitting roughly 3% under the 200-day line, its first sustained stretch below that structural level in recent weeks. Notably, the price remains about 19.5% above the 52-week low, so the pullback from the highs has room to travel before testing extremes. Overall, the data paints a stock under steady, orderly selling pressure — weak momentum, light participation, and structure broken — with the oversold readings the only counterweight in an otherwise one-directional picture. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The session
₹2,527.30 — that's where Asian Paints finished, roughly midway through a session that ran from ₹2,519.80 to ₹2,553.90. Volume told a quieter story: 3,99,368 shares changed hands, just 0.6× the 20-day average. Below normal participation.
Trend structure
Every moving average on this page — 20-day, 50-day, 200-day — sits above the close. The 200-day is at ₹2,605.81. ADX (14) reads 24.6: a trend exists, but it isn't a strong one.
Momentum
Down. That's the direction the momentum gauges share. RSI (14) at 31.7 sits between the conventional oversold and overbought thresholds, and the MACD histogram is negative — a statement about where the shorter average stands relative to the longer one, nothing about the next session.
Volatility and range
A typical day recently has meant a swing of ₹52.09 — average true range over 14 sessions, or 2.06% of price. That's the yardstick against which today's move should be judged. The 20-day volatility band ran from ₹2,508.27 to ₹2,777.88, and the close landed in the lower fifth of it.
The year so far
The 52-week picture: a low of ₹2,115.00, a high of ₹2,985.70. The close sits 15.35% below that high and 19.49% above the low. Five sessions tell one story, twenty tell the same one — down 3.12% over the shorter span, 7.59% over the longer.
Fundamentals as reported
The reported numbers: market capitalisation of 2,41,454 crore in the Basic Materials sector (Specialty Chemicals), a price-to-earnings ratio of 50.7 and a price-to-book of 11.3. These are ratios as reported — no judgement attached. The same filings show debt-to-equity at 17.8 and a dividend yield of 1.07%.
How often our range has been right
This page publishes a 1-day range, not a price call, and it gets scored against reality. Over 290 resolved ranges for this stock, the close landed inside the 20.0% range 80.00% of the time — and beat a naive benchmark over the same window. The logic cuts both ways: below the nominal rate would mean ranges too narrow, above it, too wide. Either way, the score sits here in the open, not in an internal report.
Company Events
Dividend - Rs 23 Per Share
Interim Dividend - Rs 4.50 Per Share
Dividend - Rs 20.55 Per Share
Source: NSE public corporate announcements. Factual only — no interpretation or recommendation.
Earlier sessions
- 3 Sept 2026
- 2 Sept 2026
- 1 Sept 2026
- 31 Aug 2026
- 28 Aug 2026
- 27 Aug 2026
- 26 Aug 2026
- 25 Aug 2026
- 24 Aug 2026
- 21 Aug 2026
- 20 Aug 2026
- 19 Aug 2026
- 18 Aug 2026
- 17 Aug 2026
- 14 Aug 2026
- 13 Aug 2026
- 12 Aug 2026
- 11 Aug 2026
- 10 Aug 2026
- 7 Aug 2026
- 6 Aug 2026
- 5 Aug 2026
- 4 Aug 2026
- 3 Aug 2026
- 31 Jul 2026
- 30 Jul 2026
- 29 Jul 2026
- 28 Jul 2026
- 27 Jul 2026
- 24 Jul 2026
Level to watch
The close sits near the lower end of its recent volatility range.
What we said, what happened
Weekly · Next 5 sessions · 30 of 40 inside the range- 6 Jul: range ₹2,672.32 to ₹2,856.91, actual ₹2,652.10 — outside the range
- 7 Jul: range ₹2,635.63 to ₹2,840.05, actual ₹2,641.00 — inside the range
- 8 Jul: range ₹2,570.85 to ₹2,780.35, actual ₹2,670.00 — inside the range
- 9 Jul: range ₹2,585.76 to ₹2,781.98, actual ₹2,674.70 — inside the range
- 10 Jul: range ₹2,595.09 to ₹2,779.84, actual ₹2,689.00 — inside the range
- 13 Jul: range ₹2,563.72 to ₹2,758.75, actual ₹2,691.40 — inside the range
- 14 Jul: range ₹2,570.78 to ₹2,734.99, actual ₹2,692.40 — inside the range
- 15 Jul: range ₹2,588.20 to ₹2,756.39, actual ₹2,692.80 — inside the range
- 16 Jul: range ₹2,598.17 to ₹2,754.66, actual ₹2,668.80 — inside the range
- 17 Jul: range ₹2,620.42 to ₹2,776.12, actual ₹2,637.90 — inside the range
- 20 Jul: range ₹2,624.24 to ₹2,776.82, actual ₹2,710.20 — inside the range
- 21 Jul: range ₹2,623.30 to ₹2,768.79, actual ₹2,736.20 — inside the range
- 22 Jul: range ₹2,639.55 to ₹2,765.44, actual ₹2,758.40 — inside the range
- 23 Jul: range ₹2,605.16 to ₹2,743.05, actual ₹2,746.20 — outside the range
- 24 Jul: range ₹2,573.03 to ₹2,712.03, actual ₹2,747.30 — outside the range
- 27 Jul: range ₹2,627.79 to ₹2,808.58, actual ₹2,810.00 — outside the range
- 28 Jul: range ₹2,653.40 to ₹2,836.34, actual ₹2,775.00 — inside the range
- 29 Jul: range ₹2,683.82 to ₹2,865.63, actual ₹2,760.00 — inside the range
- 30 Jul: range ₹2,667.42 to ₹2,835.92, actual ₹2,755.00 — inside the range
- 31 Jul: range ₹2,670.56 to ₹2,838.85, actual ₹2,735.00 — inside the range
- 3 Aug: range ₹2,729.93 to ₹2,905.93, actual ₹2,750.00 — inside the range
- 4 Aug: range ₹2,691.92 to ₹2,870.20, actual ₹2,735.50 — inside the range
- 5 Aug: range ₹2,674.62 to ₹2,856.69, actual ₹2,740.00 — inside the range
- 6 Aug: range ₹2,683.25 to ₹2,837.52, actual ₹2,755.50 — inside the range
- 7 Aug: range ₹2,664.54 to ₹2,814.09, actual ₹2,696.30 — inside the range
- 10 Aug: range ₹2,676.96 to ₹2,834.05, actual ₹2,687.50 — inside the range
- 11 Aug: range ₹2,667.65 to ₹2,813.42, actual ₹2,628.40 — outside the range
- 12 Aug: range ₹2,669.99 to ₹2,818.11, actual ₹2,630.80 — outside the range
- 13 Aug: range ₹2,682.47 to ₹2,829.66, actual ₹2,625.20 — outside the range
- 14 Aug: range ₹2,618.58 to ₹2,793.64, actual ₹2,640.00 — inside the range
- 17 Aug: range ₹2,605.93 to ₹2,780.40, actual ₹2,640.80 — inside the range
- 18 Aug: range ₹2,548.55 to ₹2,725.44, actual ₹2,639.80 — inside the range
- 19 Aug: range ₹2,552.19 to ₹2,721.43, actual ₹2,626.50 — inside the range
- 20 Aug: range ₹2,550.33 to ₹2,710.18, actual ₹2,631.00 — inside the range
- 21 Aug: range ₹2,569.99 to ₹2,722.36, actual ₹2,608.70 — inside the range
- 24 Aug: range ₹2,570.95 to ₹2,716.25, actual ₹2,653.60 — inside the range
- 25 Aug: range ₹2,573.48 to ₹2,716.69, actual ₹2,575.50 — inside the range
- 26 Aug: range ₹2,559.44 to ₹2,693.45, actual ₹2,527.50 — outside the range
- 27 Aug: range ₹2,570.89 to ₹2,715.61, actual ₹2,541.60 — outside the range
- 28 Aug: range ₹2,537.81 to ₹2,683.43, actual ₹2,527.30 — outside the range
Shaded band = the range we published · dot = where the actual close fell within it
Where outcomes fell inside the range
Calibration
291 resolved forecasts
287 resolved forecasts
Each forecast was built only from data available on its own date — no hindsight. The range comes from historical volatility; direction is not forecast.
Recent change
| 5-day change | -3.12% |
|---|---|
| 20-day change | -7.59% |
Trend
| 50-DMAaverage closing price of the last 50 sessions | ₹2,682.00 |
|---|---|
| 200-DMAaverage closing price of the last 200 sessions | ₹2,605.81 |
Momentum
| MACD histogramthe gap between two moving averages of price | -13.43 |
|---|
Volume & volatility
| Volume | 3,99,368 |
|---|---|
| ATR (14)the average distance the price moves in a day | ₹52.09 |
Computed from public end-of-day exchange prices. No personal or account data of any kind.